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#306312 - 18/01/2008 20:30 US Presidential elections
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
So, who's everyone voting for? The SmartSelect quiz is still active, if you haven't made up your mind yet, or you're just curious.
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Bitt Faulk

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#306313 - 18/01/2008 20:55 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
petteri
addict

Registered: 02/08/2004
Posts: 434
Loc: Helsinki, Finland
Well, I would vote for Obama. Since I live in Florida though my vote wouldn't count (insert Florida election joke here) as the Dems have disenfranchised the state for moving up it's primary date. That and I'm a registered Green.

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#306314 - 18/01/2008 21:00 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
TigerJimmy
old hand

Registered: 15/02/2002
Posts: 1049
LOL, Kent McManigal, who would be one of those complete lunatic Libertarians you've mentioned. I'm *not* one of those people, by the way.

But seriously, whom do you pick if:

1A. You opposed the war in Iraq initially, BUT
1B. You think a reactionary and premature pullout of Iraq will result in horrible genocide and endless civil war and must be avoided.

2A. Are pro-choice AND ALSO
2B. Pro-2nd amendment.

3A. Are pro-business and pro-free trade, AND
3B. Are anti-capital punishment and don't believe in security at any cost.

4A. Think it's nobody's business who marries each other, BUT
4B. Think it's nobody's business what kind of health care you choose.

5A. Are a fiscal conservative AND
5B. Feel the environment is one of the most fundamental "public goods" that needs protection.

6A. Believe the market mechanism is one of the most efficient ways to improve the lot of humanity, BUT
6B. Believe markets require regulation because market participants do not have an incentive to preserve the market mechanism itself.

These are not contradictory ideas. They are only contradictory ideas among those who already believe that it's OK for a majority to band together and tell everyone else what to do. WHAT they tell you to do is different, but what everyone seems to agree on is forcing the moral opinions of the majority down everyone else's neck. The opinions differ, but that's just not the point for me.

From a practical point of view, I'd like to see McCain make the finals. He's an honorable man, opposes destruction of civil liberties to fight the "war of terror", and is the only candidate with a sophisticated understanding of the Iraq mess. I don't think he's a fundamentalist idiot who believes the earth is 6000 years old, but he walks that path lightly because those freaks are such an important part of the nomination process (which is just amazing).

Iraq is a mess. We shouldn't have invaded that country and the administration lied to make it happen (probably the least of their transgressions). Current events prove these points. That does NOT mean that leaving and letting the place fall all the way off the cliff into tribalistic civil war will fix it. We can't un-do the terrible mistake, but let's not compound it by abandoning those people like we have the Cambodians, the Afghans, the Kurds and so many others.

Sigh.

Jim


Edited by TigerJimmy (18/01/2008 21:03)

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#306315 - 18/01/2008 21:09 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
tonyc
carpal tunnel

Registered: 27/06/1999
Posts: 7058
Loc: Pittsburgh, PA
The quiz tells me Obama, but I know better. To me, Edwards is the best candidate among the Democratic frontrunners. Since he isn't likely to win the nomination, Obama is a good second choice. Hillary is the weakest of the 3, IMHO, but I would happily choose her above any of the GOP nominees or any 3rd party effort from Ron Paul, Bloomberg, or anyone else. I'm very pleased with the Democratic field this year and think any of them would make a "good" President.

On the GOP side, I don't see any good options at all. Frankly, anything would be an upgrade from Bush, but all of them have significant dealbreakers. Rudy! 9iu11iani would be a warmongering tyrant the likes of which we have never seen in our country (worse than Bush, I think.) Romney is a complete phony, and would run the country without rhyme or reason just to keep his approval numbers high. McCain is a filthy stinking liar who for some reason has a reputation as a "straight talker." Huckabee's more suited to be a televangelist than he is President. And Ron Paul, the only candidate who has the right position on the most important issue (Iraq) is completely batshit insane.

So, more than likely, I'll end up voting Obama in the general unless something crazy happens between now and then.
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#306316 - 18/01/2008 21:43 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: tonyc]
visuvius
addict

Registered: 18/02/2002
Posts: 658
Obama for me. He's the only one that seems legitimately "different". I don't think he has been in the game long enough to become completely tainted and I'm hoping he actually tries something different.

I don't trust Hilary or Edwards. It seems like Hilary is doing it because of a right place, right time kind of thing, and I wouldn't vote a trial lawyer into the presidency if my life depended on it, plus all of his speeches sound the same.

The GOP disgusts me.

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#306317 - 18/01/2008 21:47 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: TigerJimmy]
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
I recognize your list as pointing out that the current candidates don't represent you well and that you have to pick and choose which of those things are the most important to you, but I question your conclusion of McCain.

In order, for things I can get a handle on, McCain supported the war(-), supports the "surge"(?), is anti-choice(-), gets a mediocre rating from the NRA (and worse from other gun owners groups)(-), pro-death penalty and seems to be indifferent to civil liberties(-), anti-gay marriage(-), anti-nationalized health care(+), has a wildly varying economic stance(?), and is mostly anti-environment(-). That matches you once, maybe twice, and disagrees with you at least six times. Now, maybe your opposition to a universal health care system (which doesn't necessarily imply a nationalized health care system, but which I'll ignore for now) and support for continuing the occupation of Iraq overrides the other things, but I think it's important to examine his stances closely.

But more importantly than all of that, he seldom has a single position on an issue. At best, he'll say one thing and then act differently. At worst, his record will just be all over the place. He can't even manage to stand his ground against torture, which he endured for six years in a POW camp. If he cannot stick to his guns on an issue that should be that important to him personally, how can you trust him on anything else?

Don't get snookered by his "straight talk" advertising. He talks no more straightly than any other politician.
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#306318 - 18/01/2008 22:17 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
TigerJimmy
old hand

Registered: 15/02/2002
Posts: 1049
All thoughtful and excellent points, as usual Bitt. The biggest issue for me is the war, which I opposed. Every Democrat candidate seems to think that the war being a bad idea in the first place means that it's the right decision to leave now. That's not a logical argument. I believe there will be an terrible tragedy along the lines of Cambodia, Bosnia or Rwanda if the US leaves Iraq now. What little rule of law exists in Iraq now is held together by the presence of the US Army; remove it and it will be a bloodbath. Look at what happened in Afghanistan and how the removal of American support led directly to the rise of the Taliban.

You make some great points about McCain, and I'll need to hold my nose to support him, if I do. He's definitely a politician. His straight talk advertising is almost certainly BS, but the Democrat's rallying cry of "out of Iraq NOW" is silly, emotional, superficial nonsense that will result in much human misery.

People see "Leave Iraq" as a way to express their disapproval of the war. Approval or disapproval of the war is not the point -- that ship has sailed. What do we do about the mess is the right discussion, and leaving it for them to sort out, after destroying their country and what little rule of law they had is short-sighted, callous, and cruel.


Edited by TigerJimmy (18/01/2008 22:17)

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#306319 - 18/01/2008 22:38 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: TigerJimmy]
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
I want to agree with you about leaving Iraq. I think, ideally, we should fix it. However, I'm totally unconvinced that anything that we can do could fix it at this point. I'm also unconvinced that occupying the country for many more years will do anything to alleviate the backlash that will occur when we do leave. So, from my point of view, either we leave now or soon and have a huge humanitarian crisis, or we leave later and have a huge humanitarian crisis before which we continue the large humanitarian crisis that exists now, or we never leave and have a permanent large humanitarian crisis.

This is not a situation that I'm happy with. Sometimes the real world completely steps all over one's ideals. And I do think that a lot of the "leave Iraq" sentiment is totally reactionary and ill-advised. That said, I don't think any of the candidates that are in support of leaving Iraq intend to just dump it on the floor and let it be. I think that they all intend for there to still be a reasonably significant American presence in Iraq, just not an overtly military one. (That said, I haven't examined this in depth because, while I think that this would probably be the best course of action, I also think that staying indefinitely is the worst course of action, so that limits my choices.)
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#306320 - 18/01/2008 23:20 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
Originally Posted By: wfaulk
I don't think any of the candidates that are in support of leaving Iraq intend to just dump it on the floor and let it be. I think that they all intend for there to still be a reasonably significant American presence in Iraq, just not an overtly military one. (That said, I haven't examined this in depth because, while I think that this would probably be the best course of action, I also think that staying indefinitely is the worst course of action, so that limits my choices.)

Okay, I did a little research, because it is very relevant.

Obama's position, one can assume, should match the bill he sponsored in the Senate. In particular, it requires that benchmarks for progress be set that are prerequisites for removing troops, enhancing training of internal forces, increasing diplomacy, etc. It should also be noted that he was always against the war, speaking against it publicly before it started.

Hillary Clinton has really always been pro-war, and it's only lessened today due to public pressure. That said, she also is in favor of a slow withdrawal, albeit her position changes so often it's hard to nail down exactly what she wants to do.

Edwards voted to approve military force in Iraq but has since apologized for that vote. He also is interested in a slowish withdrawal, speaking specifically of replacing American contractors with Iraqis, but has also spoken of having all troops removed within ten months of his election.

Recently, all three Democratic candidates have stated that they expect that the US will have a presence in Iraq for at least another four years.

Ron Paul was initially opposed to the war, and continues to be. Like Obama, he introduced a bill intended to remove troops from Iraq. His was intended to remove authorization for the use of military force with Iraq in six months time. His position would seem to be the most radical of the major candidates. He claims that it does not set a timetable for removal from Iraq, but I fail to see how removing authorization for military force would not result in a removal of military force.

All of the rest of the Republicans are pro-war, so we'll not see any sort of impetus to remove the US from Iraq at all.
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#306332 - 19/01/2008 03:17 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
jimhogan
carpal tunnel

Registered: 06/10/1999
Posts: 2591
Loc: Seattle, WA, U.S.A.
This BBS is a fascinating storehouse. Even in the short time that it has been around, it is very interesting to look back a few years and see the discussions about issues like the invasion of Iraq. How it might or might not be a good idea. Depending on whether there might or might not be WMDs. Or undemocratic despots. Or people yearning to be democratic.

I think I surpass the typical "Undecided Voter". In Gallup-speak, the Undecided Voter (TM) has not decided for whom they will vote. Me? I haven't decided *if* I'm going to vote.

October 11th, 2002 has to stand as the absofuckinglutely low point of the Democratic Party that some of us cut so much nostalgic slack. Read it and weep:

October 11, 2002 Senate roll call

Hey, a couple of MOTR Knight-Ridder reporters figured out that WMD were complete BS, but our Democrats had to stand like stooges to make sure that America knew that the Democrats were not Soft on Defense.

So now people want to vote for the Stooges? Some of them unapologetic Stooges?

Is this what we settle for?

(edit: I wasn't responding to any specifics in Bitt's post. Just venting in situ.)


Edited by jimhogan (19/01/2008 03:30)
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Jim


'Tis the exceptional fellow who lies awake at night thinking of his successes.

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#306356 - 19/01/2008 18:47 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
lastdan
enthusiast

Registered: 31/05/2002
Posts: 352
Loc: santa cruz,ca
I'd like to see anybody but this guy try to do this:

power to the people

I don't know much anything about this guy, but I this was kinda cool. It reminds me how I feel about almost everybody in the race. Far too slick, too cheesy or fake feeling.



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#306378 - 20/01/2008 04:08 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: lastdan]
eliceo
enthusiast

Registered: 18/02/2002
Posts: 335
that was creepy

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#306453 - 22/01/2008 23:28 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: eliceo]
thirdeyevision
journeyman

Registered: 31/05/2004
Posts: 54
Loc: Petaluma, CA (Bay Area)
i'm possibly leaning to Ron Paul (a couple of highlights). down side is he is a republican, but he is the only person in the race (either side) that isn't saying something vague every time he opens his mouth. not preaching change without a plan and not preaching we must stay in iraq.

anybody but McCain

Jim

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#306454 - 23/01/2008 00:06 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: thirdeyevision]
hybrid8
carpal tunnel

Registered: 12/11/2001
Posts: 7738
Loc: Toronto, CANADA
RP totally fell apart on the topic of illegals and the possible loss of minority votes for the Republican party. "The law is the law" just doesn't live up to the more sensible opinions he has about the perpetual shitstorm in the Middle East.

Is this guy a sleeper planted by the Dems?

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Bruno
Twisted Melon : Fine Mac OS Software

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#306455 - 23/01/2008 02:29 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: hybrid8]
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
No. He's a big-L Libertarian. Which is to say he's a lunatic. Yes, he's right about Iraq (sort of), but he's wrong about virtually everything else. The talk in that video about the recession being caused by the Federal Reserve is hiding his bigger point, which is that he wants to abolish the Federal Reserve Bank and go back to a gold standard, which is insane. He wants to abolish the IRS and get rid of federal income taxes, apparently to be supplanted by a national sales tax, which will just put more money in the pockets of the rich. He wants to get rid of virtually all restrictions on businesses, which will lead us to the same economic disparities that existed in the late 19th century.

Now, that doesn't mean that he's not better than the rest of the Republicans. He is. For one thing, you pretty much know where he stands. He may not be detailing all of his plans, but he's not changing his story every two seconds. But mostly because all of these lunatic ideas he has are unimplementable, by which I mean that there's no way he could actually accomplish them as president.
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#306458 - 23/01/2008 12:04 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
Redrum
old hand

Registered: 17/01/2003
Posts: 998
The machine ordered me to vote this way. I wonder if Stephen Colbert realy believes what he says or its just an act. Like the rest of the candidates.

1. Theoretical Ideal Candidate (100%)
2. Tom Tancredo (withdrawn, endorsed Romney) (78%) Information link
3. Duncan Hunter (withdrawn) (77%) Information link
4. Alan Keyes (72%) Information link
5. Stephen Colbert (campaign halted) (72%) Information link
6. John McCain (62%) Information link
7. Fred Thompson (withdrawn) (61%) Information link
8. Ron Paul (60%) Information link

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#306463 - 23/01/2008 12:52 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: Redrum]
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
Originally Posted By: Redrum
I wonder if Stephen Colbert realy believes what he says or its just an act.
Do you really?
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Bitt Faulk

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#306465 - 23/01/2008 15:04 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
Schido
enthusiast

Registered: 29/03/2005
Posts: 364
Loc: Probably lost somewhere in Wal...
Here's another one of those quizes: http://www.electoralcompass.com/
(It's made in Holland) smile
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#306468 - 23/01/2008 17:24 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: Schido]
tanstaafl.
carpal tunnel

Registered: 08/07/1999
Posts: 5542
Loc: Ajijic, Mexico
Originally Posted By: Schido
Here's another one of those quizes: http://www.electoralcompass.com/


This one is impressive. Perhaps I am biased because the questions it asked pushed so many of my personal hot buttons... but the depth of the analysis available after your answers are correlated with the candidates positions (including source citations) is a big step ahead of most of these polls I've looked at.

tanstaafl.
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"There Ain't No Such Thing As A Free Lunch"

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#306469 - 23/01/2008 17:40 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
Redrum
old hand

Registered: 17/01/2003
Posts: 998
Originally Posted By: wfaulk
Originally Posted By: Redrum
I wonder if Stephen Colbert realy believes what he says or its just an act.
Do you really?


I think he does a pretty good job of not showing his true convictions. Better than John Stewart

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#306471 - 23/01/2008 17:50 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: Redrum]
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
Then you're not paying attention. Everything he says is a parody of the right-wing lunatics. You can assume he means approximately 0% of it.
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Bitt Faulk

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#306472 - 23/01/2008 18:18 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
hybrid8
carpal tunnel

Registered: 12/11/2001
Posts: 7738
Loc: Toronto, CANADA
Has anyone read Colbert's book? I saw it on my last trip down to the US but didn't pick it up. If it's as amusing as his show I might have to give it a read. I don't even follow US politics outside of the Report.
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Twisted Melon : Fine Mac OS Software

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#306473 - 23/01/2008 18:27 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
Redrum
old hand

Registered: 17/01/2003
Posts: 998
Yes, he is acting but since he is good at this form of acting/comidy I can't tell what he truely believe. Maybe you can but I can't

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#306475 - 23/01/2008 19:03 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: Redrum]
hybrid8
carpal tunnel

Registered: 12/11/2001
Posts: 7738
Loc: Toronto, CANADA
I think the point is that the "person" you see on the Colbert Report is a character Colbert plays. Just like playing a waiter or an office clerk in an old skit. The character just happens to share the actor's name in this case.

Not very different from Shacha Baron Cohen playing Ali G or Borat.

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Bruno
Twisted Melon : Fine Mac OS Software

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#306476 - 23/01/2008 19:15 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: hybrid8]
tfabris
carpal tunnel

Registered: 20/12/1999
Posts: 31575
Loc: Seattle, WA
Quote:
Not very different from Shacha Baron Cohen playing Ali G or Borat.


Who, by the way, was *awesome* in Sweeney Todd...
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#306477 - 23/01/2008 19:34 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: tfabris]
hybrid8
carpal tunnel

Registered: 12/11/2001
Posts: 7738
Loc: Toronto, CANADA
Originally Posted By: tfabris
Who, by the way, was *awesome* in Sweeney Todd...


To get this further off-topic.. smile I don't watch musicals, but if someone posts a clip on YouTube then I suppose I can check it out.
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Bruno
Twisted Melon : Fine Mac OS Software

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#306478 - 23/01/2008 20:04 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: tfabris]
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
Originally Posted By: tfabris
Quote:
Not very different from Shacha Baron Cohen playing Ali G or Borat.
Who, by the way, was *awesome* in Sweeney Todd...

His performance was ruined for me by the idiot fratboys in the theater near me giggling everytime he was onscreen, regardless of context, clearly thinking, "It's Borat, bro!"
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Bitt Faulk

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#306490 - 24/01/2008 01:51 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: tanstaafl.]
wfaulk
carpal tunnel

Registered: 25/12/2000
Posts: 16706
Loc: Raleigh, NC US
Originally Posted By: taanstaafl.
the depth of the analysis available after your answers are correlated with the candidates positions (including source citations) is a big step ahead of most of these polls I've looked at.

While I can agree that seeing their citations is helpful, I think they have come to unrealistic conclusions based on those citations.

For example, Barack Obama is quoted as having said:
Originally Posted By: Barack Obama
It's hard for me to find a rationale for having a 17-clip semiautomatic.
And from that they take that he "completely agrees" with "All semi-automatic weapons should be banned". (Honestly, I'm not at all sure that either Obama or the writers of the quiz know what "semi-automatic" means.) There is a similar problem with John Edwards, but he never uses that term, referring to the Assault Weapons Ban instead.

Hillary says:
Originally Posted By: Hillary Clinton
She believes President Bush's singular focus on Iraq has distracted him from waging the war on terror
And, somehow, from that, they get that she "tends to agree" with "Iraq is just one front in a broader fight against Islamic terrorism", which seems to be the exact opposite of what she said. (I won't get into how what she says changes every few minutes; I'm just looking at their pull quotes.)

They have Ron Paul as "tending to disagree" with "The US should never sign international treaties on climate change that limit economic growth". While he has indicated some vague pro-environmental stances, they are all couched inside infringing on personal liberties by others, and never by governmental control. The notion that he would ever in any way agree to a treaty that limits what businesses can do is absurd. Here's a quote to that exact point:
Quote:
Q: You have voiced strong opposition to the Kyoto Protocol. Can you see supporting a different kind of international treaty to address global warming?

Ron Paul: It would all depend. I think negotiation and talk and persuasion are worthwhile, but treaties that have law enforcement agencies that force certain countries to do things, I don't think that would work.
That, to me, is the complete opposite of tending to agree with signing treaties that would limit the economy.

They also have him as neutral on two government providing health-care questions. Again, he is vehemently opposed to the government doing much of anything, so there is no way that he would be in favor of the government providing healthcare benefits. He says:
Quote:
Asked point blank whether he would propose to abolish Medicare, Paul replied, “That’s not my goal. It might be my theoretical goal and my philosophic goal.”
So his philosophical goal is to get rid of what little healthcare the US government currently provides.

I don't really want to go further down the Republican rabbit hole, though, so I'll stop there.

I will agree that it does provide quotes for me to disagree with their interpretation of, though, even if it's not the whole story. That's still one up on most of these sites.
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Bitt Faulk

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#306491 - 24/01/2008 02:14 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: wfaulk]
JBjorgen
carpal tunnel

Registered: 19/01/2002
Posts: 3583
Loc: Columbus, OH
If I go by the quiz, apparently, Alan Keyes is my guy. After him, Mitt Romney is the next best match for a major candidate. Surprise!, I'm on the opposite end of the spectrum from most of you guys smile
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#306492 - 24/01/2008 03:08 Re: US Presidential elections [Re: JBjorgen]
jimhogan
carpal tunnel

Registered: 06/10/1999
Posts: 2591
Loc: Seattle, WA, U.S.A.
Originally Posted By: JBjorgen
If I go by the quiz, apparently, Alan Keyes is my guy.

Hmmm, Republican, Afro-American candidate, South Carolina. I'da thunk your vote would have pushed him into the top three smile

Quote:
After him, Mitt Romney is the next best match for a major candidate.

Part of me longs for a Romney nomination. The notion of a sort of a Daisy television commercial -- but with dogshit dripping down the windshield of the clean-cut family guy's station wagon -- is just too much fun to contemplate without adequate sedatives on hand.

Quote:
Surprise!, I'm on the opposite end of the spectrum from most of you guys smile

So what you are possibly saying is that you *visited* Wexlerwantshearings.com....but didn't inhale?
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Jim


'Tis the exceptional fellow who lies awake at night thinking of his successes.

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